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  • Interaction Effects Between Dummy Variables and Time-Invariant Variables in Panel Regression Analysis

    Dear Statalist members,

    First of all, I would like to thank Carlo Lazzaro for helping me resolve my initial query. Here is the related thread:

    https://www.statalist.org/forums/for...ion-procedures

    I have a new question, which involves a different aspect of my research, so I am starting a new thread here.

    I am conducting a study using a balanced panel dataset of 77 government R&D programs observed over 11 years. The main research objective is to examine whether the evaluation results from year t-1 influence the government-proposed budget in year t.
    • My independent variables are evaluation result dummies for year t-1, namely dum_Grade2 (indicating "Excellent") and dum_Grade3 (indicating "Insufficient").
    • My dependent variable is the log-transformed government-proposed budget for year t, denoted as ln_GBUDGETt.
    Now, I am interested in analyzing whether a time-invariant dummy variable for program type (dum_Type2) moderates the effect of dum_Grade2 and dum_Grade3 on ln_GBUDGETt. To do this, I intend to include the interaction terms:
    • interaction_Grade2_Type2 = dum_Grade2 * dum_Type2
    • interaction_Grade3_Type2 = dum_Grade3 * dum_Type2
    Code:
    . egen center_Grade2 = mean(dum_Grade2)
    . egen center_Grade3 = mean(dum_Grade3)
    . egen center_Type2 = mean(dum_Type2)
    
    . gen interaction_Grade2_Type2 = (dum_Grade2 - center_Grade2) * (dum_Type2 - center_Type2)
    . gen interaction_Grade3_Type2 = (dum_Grade3 - center_Grade3) * (dum_Type2 - center_Type2)

    Code:
    . xtreg ln_GBUDGETt dum_Grade2 dum_Grade3 dum_Type2 interaction_Grade2_Type2 interaction_Grade3_Type2 ln_Period dum_Scale2 dum_NationalProject2 dum_Congress2 ln_GDPgrowth, fe vce(cluster ID
    > )
    note: dum_Type2 omitted because of collinearity.
    
    Fixed-effects (within) regression               Number of obs     =        847
    Group variable: ID                              Number of groups  =         77
    
    R-squared:                                      Obs per group:
         Within  = 0.1885                                         min =         11
         Between = 0.6430                                         avg =       11.0
         Overall = 0.5360                                         max =         11
    
                                                    F(9, 76)          =       5.54
    corr(u_i, Xb) = 0.5650                          Prob > F          =     0.0000
    
                                                    (Std. err. adjusted for 77 clusters in ID)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                             |               Robust
                 ln_GBUDGETt | Coefficient  std. err.      t    P>|t|     [95% conf. interval]
    -------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                  dum_Grade2 |  -.0461032   .0574294    -0.80   0.425    -.1604837    .0682773
                  dum_Grade3 |  -.1110424   .0923934    -1.20   0.233    -.2950598     .072975
                   dum_Type2 |          0  (omitted)
    interaction_Grade2_Type2 |   .1474514   .1252494     1.18   0.243    -.1020043    .3969072
    interaction_Grade3_Type2 |  -.2295972   .1842096    -1.25   0.216    -.5964824    .1372881
                   ln_Period |   .1932306   .1130568     1.71   0.092    -.0319415    .4184028
                  dum_Scale2 |   .9017088   .1966115     4.59   0.000      .510123    1.293295
        dum_NationalProject2 |   .0754921   .1083848     0.70   0.488    -.1403749    .2913591
               dum_Congress2 |   .0633894   .0490861     1.29   0.200     -.034374    .1611528
                ln_GDPgrowth |  -.0312415   .0135256    -2.31   0.024    -.0581801    -.004303
                       _cons |   9.735442   .3140126    31.00   0.000     9.110031    10.36085
    -------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                     sigma_u |  .97561585
                     sigma_e |  .44391609
                         rho |  .82847629   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Code:
    . xtreg ln_GBUDGETt dum_Grade2 dum_Grade3 dum_Type2 interaction_Grade2_Type2 interaction_Grade3_Type2 ln_Period dum_Scale2 dum_NationalProject2 dum_Congress2 ln_GDPgrowth, re vce(cluster ID
    > )
    
    Random-effects GLS regression                   Number of obs     =        847
    Group variable: ID                              Number of groups  =         77
    
    R-squared:                                      Obs per group:
         Within  = 0.1879                                         min =         11
         Between = 0.6039                                         avg =       11.0
         Overall = 0.5395                                         max =         11
    
                                                    Wald chi2(10)     =     109.13
    corr(u_i, X) = 0 (assumed)                      Prob > chi2       =     0.0000
    
                                                    (Std. err. adjusted for 77 clusters in ID)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                             |               Robust
                 ln_GBUDGETt | Coefficient  std. err.      z    P>|z|     [95% conf. interval]
    -------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                  dum_Grade2 |  -.0479763   .0564415    -0.85   0.395    -.1585996     .062647
                  dum_Grade3 |  -.1145074   .0879319    -1.30   0.193    -.2868507     .057836
                   dum_Type2 |   .7285303   .2021124     3.60   0.000     .3323972    1.124663
    interaction_Grade2_Type2 |    .133687   .1210221     1.10   0.269     -.103512    .3708861
    interaction_Grade3_Type2 |   -.239945   .1744614    -1.38   0.169     -.581883    .1019929
                   ln_Period |   .2234043   .0977784     2.28   0.022     .0317622    .4150463
                  dum_Scale2 |   1.053447   .1844403     5.71   0.000     .6919507    1.414944
        dum_NationalProject2 |   .1090483   .1029717     1.06   0.290    -.0927725    .3108691
               dum_Congress2 |   .0807632   .0469217     1.72   0.085    -.0112017    .1727281
                ln_GDPgrowth |  -.0287817   .0142488    -2.02   0.043    -.0567089   -.0008546
                       _cons |    9.20711   .3015075    30.54   0.000     8.616166    9.798054
    -------------------------+----------------------------------------------------------------
                     sigma_u |  .67509119
                     sigma_e |  .44391609
                         rho |  .69813328   (fraction of variance due to u_i)
    ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
    Code:
    . xtoverid
    
    Test of overidentifying restrictions: fixed vs random effects
    Cross-section time-series model: xtreg re  robust cluster(ID)
    Sargan-Hansen statistic  50.052  Chi-sq(9)    P-value = 0.0000


    This approach is based on previous studies, which have explored similar interaction effects between evaluation results and program characteristics.


    My question:


    I learned that when including interaction terms in a regression, the original variables (in this case, dum_Grade2, dum_Grade3, and dum_Type2) should also be included in the model. However, in my case, dum_Type2 is a time-invariant variable, and it would be dropped in a fixed effects (FE) model.

    Therefore, I would like to clarify:
    1. Since my main interest lies in the interaction terms (interaction_Grade2_Type2 and interaction_Grade3_Type2), is it acceptable to interpret the interaction effects even if dum_Type2 is omitted from the fixed effects model?
    2. Alternatively, would it be more appropriate to use a random effects (RE) model or the Hausman-Taylor estimator to ensure that dum_Type2 remains in the model?
    Any guidance or clarification on this issue would be greatly appreciated!

    Thank you in advance for your time and insights.
    Last edited by Hyunjin Cha; 15 Dec 2024, 08:17.

  • #2
    Hyunjin:
    if your main predictor is a time-invariant one, the -fe- estimator will wipe it out due to demeaning.
    You may wnat to take a look at -mundlak- (The Stata Blog ยป Fixed effects or random effects: The Mundlak approach).
    Kind regards,
    Carlo
    (StataNow 18.5)

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