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  • Question AC/PAC-Function / AR(p) MA(q) ARMA(p,q)

    Hi,

    I have a question regarding the interpretation and selection of an appropriate process. I examined the differenced version of an exchange rate DEXUSUK in STATA and obtained the following ACF and PACF. I am considering an ARMA (2,2) process since both the ACF and PACF cut off after the second lag, but I'm not entirely sure as I have always followed the following schema:

    PACF
    Breaks off Decrease
    ACF Breaks off ??? MA
    Decrease AR ARMA


    Can someone help clarify if this is correct or how to proceed in this case?

    Hint: I have checked the residuals, they have the same AC and PAC.

    Click image for larger version

Name:	AC dDesuxuk.png
Views:	1
Size:	28.8 KB
ID:	1757499
    Click image for larger version

Name:	PAC dDexusuk.png
Views:	1
Size:	18.5 KB
ID:	1757500


    Thank you in advance.

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