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  • if my lead variable is significant but of the opposite sign is my identification wrong



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    Suppose I have a negative significant effect of a variable x on reading scores in the current year( hs1) . Also a negative significant effect in the lagged year (hs3) ie variable L1.x on reading scores . But I get a positive sign significant effect on reading scores in the future period (hsz1 and hsz3) ie lead1.x.Is it always the case there is something wrong with my identification?

    4_Figuretiming_age_z_read_score.gph
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