Hello. I am always being grateful for posting my queries here as I receive helpful comments and suggestions.
Once again I am looking here experts especially Carlo Lazzaro, Nick Cox and Fei Wang for your kind suggestions.
My query is:
I have estimated fixed effect model for predicting stock returns using financial variables such as the market return, interest rate, oil prices and oil price volatility.
The issue is that R-square is very low ( maximum R-square is 0.12) and my supervisor asked me to change the technique or provide explanation for this low R-square.
The comment from my supervisor is:
I am posting the screen from my FE regression. Please help me to sort out this as soon as possible. thank you very much again.
Once again I am looking here experts especially Carlo Lazzaro, Nick Cox and Fei Wang for your kind suggestions.
My query is:
I have estimated fixed effect model for predicting stock returns using financial variables such as the market return, interest rate, oil prices and oil price volatility.
The issue is that R-square is very low ( maximum R-square is 0.12) and my supervisor asked me to change the technique or provide explanation for this low R-square.
The comment from my supervisor is:
Code:
R-square is very low and t-stats for the coefficients are very high. What is the explanation for this?
Code:
xtreg Rs Spread Rm rExr zmv rBrent vBrentttt i.date, fe vce(cluster compid) note: 691.date omitted because of collinearity note: 692.date omitted because of collinearity note: 693.date omitted because of collinearity note: 694.date omitted because of collinearity note: 695.date omitted because of collinearity Fixed-effects (within) regression Number of obs = 24,605 Group variable: compid Number of groups = 259 R-sq: Obs per group: within = 0.1525 min = 95 between = 0.0032 avg = 95.0 overall = 0.0584 max = 95 F(95,258) = 33.61 corr(u_i, Xb) = -0.7842 Prob > F = 0.0000 (Std. Err. adjusted for 259 clusters in compid) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------ | Robust Rs | Coef. Std. Err. t P>|t| [95% Conf. Interval] -------------+---------------------------------------------------------------- Spread | -.066479 .0073067 -9.10 0.000 -.0808674 -.0520906 Rm | 1.884146 .1969506 9.57 0.000 1.496311 2.271982 rExr | -.5437886 .2824927 -1.92 0.055 -1.100074 .0124964 zmv | .0402099 .0041168 9.77 0.000 .0321032 .0483166 rBrent | -1.726282 .2543047 -6.79 0.000 -2.22706 -1.225505 vBrentttt | -1.858098 .3769667 -4.93 0.000 -2.600422 -1.115775 | date | 602 | -.2007925 .0252852 -7.94 0.000 -.2505842 -.1510008 603 | -.0575308 .0189211 -3.04 0.003 -.0947902 -.0202715 604 | -.313948 .0425363 -7.38 0.000 -.3977106 -.2301854 605 | -.2572561 .0343938 -7.48 0.000 -.3249845 -.1895277 606 | -.1102228 .0270083 -4.08 0.000 -.1634075 -.0570381 --more--
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