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  • Interpreting coefficient when using a binary IV

    I am a beginner in the field of econometrics/regression analysis and would like to ask about the interpretation of the coefficients when using a dummy IV.

    I want to evaluate the effect of a variable called CIVISM on the likelihood of joining the public sector (binary variable) in a bilingual region (German and French speakers).

    Since I suspect CIVISM to be endogenous, I try to alleviate this issue by instrumenting the variable. As a result, I use a binary variable called French (whether the individual is a French speaker) as an instrument. I already did a 1st stage estimation and the IV looks correct so far.

    My model:

    Code:
    ivprobit PUBLIC i.kanton (CIVISM=French) $CONTROLS i.year, vce(robust)
    One copy of the results table (in the good format hopefully):
    Robust
    Coef. Std. Err. z P>z [95% Conf. Interval]
    CIVISM -.1078692 .0117544 -9.18 0.000 -.1309074 -.0848311
    kanton
    FR .1004076 .096608 1.04 0.299 -.0889407 .2897558
    VS -.1114069 .0639421 -1.74 0.081 -.2367312 .0139173
    age .1056905 .0138313 7.64 0.000 .0785816 .1327993
    age_sq -.0008263 .0001456 -5.68 0.000 -.0011116 -.0005411
    female .3303467 .0547671 6.03 0.000 .2230051 .4376884
    kid .0601874 .0221381 2.72 0.007 .0167975 .1035773
    female_kid -.0520341 .0281653 -1.85 0.065 -.1072372 .003169
    college .2894405 .0517888 5.59 0.000 .1879363 .3909446
    confess
    Catholic .1535563 .0500758 3.07 0.002 .0554096 .2517031
    Other .0923529 .0463577 1.99 0.046 .0014934 .1832124
    ideology -.0214935 .0106815 -2.01 0.044 -.0424288 -.0005582
    union .4001181 .0656321 6.10 0.000 .2714816 .5287546
    charity -.0944223 .0456408 -2.07 0.039 -.1838765 -.004968
    environment_protection -.0457087 .0439215 -1.04 0.298 -.1317932 .0403759
    I have diffculty in interpreting the coefficient of CIVISM with respect to the IV. More precisely, I am trying to understand the meaning of the coefficient according to the the value of French (0 or 1).

    I know that probit model does not allow to interpect direclty the coefficients, but my question is more related to the IV, and the difference of interpretation with a regression with no instrument.

    Thank you.
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