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  • Calculate implied cost of equity capital using Gebhardt et al. (2001) model

    Dear Statalist community,

    I am a student from the Netherlands and I am currently writing my master's thesis.
    For my research, I am required to calculate the cost of equity capital using the method of Gebhardt et al. (2001), see full reference below.
    I already used advice from another post on Statalist on this topic, but still did not proceed to obtain any good results: https://www.statalist.org/forums/for...equity-capital.

    The formula for the Gebhardt et al. (2001) model is as follows, as explained by El Ghoul et al. (2011):

    The explicit forecast horizon is set to 3 years, beyond which forecasted ROE decays to the median industry ROE by the 12th year, and remains constant thereafter. Dividend payout is assumed to be constant. For the first 3 years, FOREt+i is set equal to FEPSt+i=Bt+i-1.
    Beyond the third year, FORE fades linearly to the industry median ROE by the 12th year.
    Industries are defined according to the Fama and French (1997) classification and the median industry ROE is calculated over the past 10 years excluding loss firms.
    The expected dividend payout ratio DPRt+i is set equal to DPS0=EPS0.

    I have attached a .xlsx dataset with the following variables:
    bv0-bv11 = book values per share for t = 0 to 11
    froe1-froe12 = forecasted return on equity for periods t+1 to t+12
    p = current stock price

    In a STATA guide that I received from my university, I have found the following code (do-file also included):
    Code:
    use [INSERT PATH], clear
    gen r=.
    gen diff=.
    gen id=_n
    sum id
    local m=r(max)
    forvalues u=1(1)`m'{
     local a=bv0[`u']
     local b=bv1[`u']
     local c=bv2[`u']
     local i=bv3[`u']
     local j=bv4[`u']
     local k=bv5[`u']
     local l=bv6[`u']
     local ff=bv7[`u']
     local gg=bv8[`u']
     local o=bv9[`u']
     local p=bv10[`u']
     local aa=bv11[`u']
     local d=froe1[`u']
     local e=froe2[`u']
     local f=froe3[`u']
     local bb=froe4[`u']
     local s=froe5[`u']
     local t=froe6[`u']
     local ee=froe7[`u']
     local cc=froe8[`u']
     local w=froe9[`u']
     local x=froe10[`u']
     local y=froe11[`u']
     local z=froe12[`u']
     local h=p[`u']
     forvalues q=1(1)4900{
     local r=0.01+0.0001*(`q'-1)
     local v=`a'+(`d'-`r'*`a')/(1+`r')+(`e'-`r'*`b')/(1+`r')^2+ ///
     (`f'-`r'*`c')/(1+`r')^3+(`bb'-`r'*`i')/(1+`r')^4+(`s'-`r'*`j')/(1+`r')^5+///
     (`t'-`r'*`k')/(1+`r')^6+(`ee'-`r'*`l')/(1+`r')^7+(`cc'-`r'*`ff')/(1+`r')^8+///
     (`w'-`r'*`gg')/(1+`r')^9+(`x'-`r'*`o')/(1+`r')^10+///
     (`y'-`r'*`p')/(1+`r')^11+(`z'-`r'*`aa')/(`r'*(1+`r')^11)
     local dd=abs(`v'-`h')
     if `dd'<diff[`u'] {
     qui replace r=`r' if id==`u'
     qui replace diff=`dd' if id==`u'
     }
     local rr=r[`u']
     }
    di `u' ": " `rr'
    }
    In this code we simply tell Stata to try N different values of r to compute v and then store the value of r that results in the smallest distance between v and p.
    The code was originally meant to be used with the Claus and Thomas (2001) model that I have succesfully used, but the Gebhardt et al. (2001) model is similar. I have changed the code
    for use with the Gebhardt et al. (2001) model. However, when I run the code, I only obtain results of .49000, which happens to be my upper bound in the code.
    As I am relatively new to STATA, I do not know how to fix the code.

    Therefore, any suggestions to fix my code or another way to code it would be very helpful!

    Thank you in advance.

    Kind regards,

    Robin Wind
    Attached Files
    Last edited by Robin Wind; 17 Apr 2018, 04:21.

  • #2
    Dear Robin,

    I'm also studying in the Netherlands and doing my master thesis, for which I need to calculate implied cost of equity according to the Claus and Thomas (2001), Gebhardt, Lee and Swaminathan (2001), Ohlson and Juettner-Nauroth (2005) and the Easton (2004) model. As I'm new to Stata I'm struggling a bit to know what formulas to use, if you still have them accessible, would you mind sharing the do-files and example (or dummy) data from your thesis that I can look at for guidance?

    Thank you in advance!

    Kind regards,
    Josefin

    Comment


    • #3
      For those who might be interested in paying for ICC codes, we have developed robust and yet easy to use codes. The majority of the codes available on this forum for the implied cost of equity calculations (ICC) have computation issues or have errors, resulting in incorrect estimates of the ICC. The link to our codes can be accessed here https://fintechprofessor.com/complet...equity-models/.
      Regards
      --------------------------------------------------
      Attaullah Shah, PhD.
      Professor of Finance, Institute of Management Sciences Peshawar, Pakistan
      FinTechProfessor.com
      https://asdocx.com
      Check out my asdoc program, which sends outputs to MS Word.
      For more flexibility, consider using asdocx which can send Stata outputs to MS Word, Excel, LaTeX, or HTML.

      Comment

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