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  • Help in Granger casuality - VECM model

    Hello guys. Is there an option to do Granger casuality test after doing a VECM model?

    I see such option on VAR diagnostics and tests but not VEC. Please tell me If I am doing VECM model properly:

    -lag order selection for VEC/VAR model for variables D.lfw20 D.lw20 (which is ln(fw20 and w20 - these are spot and futures for index market prices). Working on those variables because later im doing dcc-garch

    -the AIC, SBIC, HQIC criteria says 4 is best fit
    -vector error-correction model
    -number of cointegrating equations(rank) - 1
    -maximum lag 4 as criterias sasys
    -depended variables are ones listed above (D.lfw20, D.lw20)
    -trend constant (default)

    How to test Granger Casuality in this model? If its gonna be vecm dcc-garch it cant be Granger casuality test from var model, can it?



  • #2
    They are no VEC diagnostic test entailing granger causality that I am aware of. But one can test for the short run causality (also known as weak Granger causality) by means of an F test to access the joint significance of the lagged differences on the dependent variable. To test for long run causality (strong Granger causality) one can do an F test to access the joint significance of the ECM term + lagged variables in each VECM.

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