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  • marginal effects vs log(odds) in logit

    Hello statalist,

    I have a dummy variable (happened=1, not happened=0) for my dependent variables and a number of continuous and dummy explanatory variables. I am using a logit regression. I have standardized all my continuous variables in order to get a better interpretation. However, I do not understand why the marginal effects report different values compared to standardized coefficients? I would appreciate your help.
    Last edited by Mehdi Shiva; 24 Mar 2015, 10:30.

  • #2
    It would help to see your commands and output. But, by default, margins is going to give you predicted probabilities, whereas the model coefficients talk about the effects of variables on the log odds of an event occurring.
    -------------------------------------------
    Richard Williams, Notre Dame Dept of Sociology
    StataNow Version: 19.5 MP (2 processor)

    EMAIL: [email protected]
    WWW: https://www3.nd.edu/~rwilliam

    Comment


    • #3
      Originally posted by Richard Williams View Post
      It would help to see your commands and output. But, by default, margins is going to give you predicted probabilities, whereas the model coefficients talk about the effects of variables on the log odds of an event occurring.
      Thank you Dr. Williams for the respond. Here is the commands I use:
      logit intconf $totalmissingpyears_std ,robust cluster(gwno)
      margins, dydx(*) post

      I wonder, which one is more informative: If I say one standard deviation of x1 increases the log odds of Y by 50% or to say one standard deviation of x1 increases the probability of Y happening by 4%?
      (please let me know if its more convenient to copy my results here as well)

      Comment


      • #4
        There are any number of ways to make your results easier to understand. All have their pros and cons. There is nothing that says they have to be mutually exclusive and you can only use one. You can look at the sign and significance of coefficients; odds ratios; adjusted predictions; marginal effects; and predicted probabilities for prototypical cases. You can combine these with x-standardized coefficients as you seem to be doing. Personally, I think marginal effects of continuous variables are one of the least useful things to use (the interpretation is not as easy as you imply), but economists seem to like them. The latest version of Long and Freese's book overs many of the options:

        http://www.stata.com/bookstore/regre...ent-variables/

        For continuous variables I am also a big fan of the mcp command. See

        http://www.stata-journal.com/article...article=gr0056

        For highlights see

        http://www3.nd.edu/~rwilliam/stats3/Margins03.pdf

        -------------------------------------------
        Richard Williams, Notre Dame Dept of Sociology
        StataNow Version: 19.5 MP (2 processor)

        EMAIL: [email protected]
        WWW: https://www3.nd.edu/~rwilliam

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by Richard Williams View Post
          There are any number of ways to make your results easier to understand. All have their pros and cons. There is nothing that says they have to be mutually exclusive and you can only use one. You can look at the sign and significance of coefficients; odds ratios; adjusted predictions; marginal effects; and predicted probabilities for prototypical cases. You can combine these with x-standardized coefficients as you seem to be doing. Personally, I think marginal effects of continuous variables are one of the least useful things to use (the interpretation is not as easy as you imply), but economists seem to like them. The latest version of Long and Freese's book overs many of the options:

          http://www.stata.com/bookstore/regre...ent-variables/

          For continuous variables I am also a big fan of the mcp command. See

          http://www.stata-journal.com/article...article=gr0056

          For highlights see

          http://www3.nd.edu/~rwilliam/stats3/Margins03.pdf
          Thank you very much. I like mcp as well but sometimes people are looking for just "a simple number"!

          Comment


          • #6
            I'd recommend reading upon Kennedy (2008), Enders (2010), or Wooldridge (2013) on marginal effects and standard coefficients in regards to dummy variables. Look for explanation on dummy variables within logit models and how to interpret against marginal effects.

            From what I can recall and write in one line, you essentially have a mathematical/statistical transformation of data on the coefficients in regards to the logit/log(odds) results. Correct me if I'm wrong, and I apologize if I'm too vague.

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